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Session Title: Evaluating in the Face of Uncertainty: Anticipation and Agility to Improve Evaluation Quality
Expert Lecture Session 353 to be held in Centennial Section D on Thursday, Nov 6, 3:35 PM to 4:20 PM
Sponsored by the Systems in Evaluation TIG
Chair(s):
Michael Quinn Patton,  Utilization Focused Evaluation,  mqpatton@prodigy.net
Presenter(s):
Jonathan A Morell,  TechTeam Government Solutions,  jonny.morell@newvectors.net
Abstract: When we design evaluation we consider models, theory, stakeholders, information use, roles, methodology, data, funding, deadlines, and logistics. The science, technology, and craft of evaluation would be strengthened if another set of considerations were added to the mix, i.e. the need to deal with unanticipated consequences. Or, put another way, how to contend with surprise. This session will present a framework for dealing with evaluation surprise, and will provide specific methods within that framework. Key elements include: 1) the continuum between 'highly anticipatable' and 'truly unpredictable', 2) the evaluation life cycle, 3) planning and agility in evaluation, and 4) similarities between evaluations and the programs being evaluated. The goals of the presentation are to: 1) improve evaluations that are being done, and 2) further development of an invisible college of evaluators who are interesting in developing this aspect of our field.

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