| Abstract:
Attached proposal is a policy recommendation drafted by the Department of energy (DOE) Office of Science (DOFOS). This policy recommendation aim is, first and foremost, the development of alternative and renewable energy sources and, secondly - and by extension, to reduce the US dependence on oil - foreign or otherwise. To these ends, this policy recommendation calls for the establishment of a new federal research energy agency within the DOE; an agency tasked specifically with the goals and objectives noted above. Moreover, this policy recommendation, as well as the various course of action (COA) examined, is founded on empirically centered evidence vis-à-vis a multi-attribute analysis (MAA). As this past summer so vividly illustrated, where oil commodity futures and supply shortages drove crude up some 150%, both business (airline, auto) and the American consumer requires price stable and environmentally sound energy source. To sum up, manipulative speculation and dollar depreciation account for most of the recent increases in the price of oil-speculation accounts for nearly 60 percent, dollar depreciation for almost 40 percent. This policy recommendation provides for those needs.
To do this, we, first, need to claim the problem of oil dependence. This problem definition reflects the tangible evident data that reveal a real situation of the energy market in the U.S. and confirm our problem definition. This data refer to the analytical reviews and reports of the Department of Energy of the U.S. and other independent analytical editions. The main point of this data is to articulate an existence of the oil dependence on the supplier nations in the Middle East. Second, we recommend necessary external and internal essential adjustment policies for the U.S. The feasible sustainability of this COA we tested by the multi-attribute analysis. The reason why we chose this type of the analysis could be explained by the specific practical context of the COA. This kind of analysis tends to estimate precise expenses and benefits. The nature of our COA is related to the strategic management that supposed to be valuable in light of the cost, politics, ease of implementation and environmental impact criteria.
According to logic of the multi-attribute analysis, we selected the criteria that transformed the intangible ideas and values of policy decision process to the tangible data. This setting of the data can explain us the clear mechanism of policy implementation and show up the possible weakness and strengths of the COA. Furthermore, each criterion has a weighing measure. The most important criteria of this table accumulate within the multiplying action. Thus, the most valuable criteria of the COA has more multiplied times. This table with visual measures intends to emphasize the practical capability of our policy recommendation.
Finally, we considered the role of each possible scenario through the measured criteria. We articulate precisely the advantages and disadvantages of the implied policy activities. The advantages are based upon efficiency, affordable cost, and social fairness. The disadvantages of the COA are formulated through the possible fails and obstacles of the accomplishment. Status quo as oil dependence of the US represents the scenario of the contemporary energy policy agenda. We also keep in mind all external and internal factors that we could not predict today. The validity and the reliability of this multi-attribute analysis we can test through the exploring of the previous experience of the similar policy implementation in other states. Qualitative research of the second sources is a supplementary technical tool of our policy recommendation.
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